On the detail: the lyophilised solid is far more robust than anything anyone says about it, and the solution is far less robust. Most of the confusion in this area comes from advice about one being applied to the other.
The temperature dependence is roughly Arrhenius over the range that matters, which in practice means every ten degrees of increase roughly doubles to triples the rate. Ten days at thirty degrees is therefore comparable to something on the order of a month or two at four degrees — bad, but not the catastrophe it feels like when you open a warm parcel.
Mechanically, freeze-concentration is the mechanism people miss. As ice forms, everything that is not water is excluded into a shrinking unfrozen fraction, so the local concentration of peptide, buffer salts and preservative rises sharply. If the buffer components crystallise at different rates, local pH can shift by more than a unit. That is why a phosphate-buffered solution can behave badly on freezing while an unbuffered one is fine.
The licensed semaglutide and tirzepatide presentations carry in-use periods of several weeks at room temperature in their labelling, which is the closest thing to real stability data in this space — and it applies to a buffered, surfactant-containing, preservative-containing formulation, not to a reconstituted research vial.
Worth stating: research-use-only material has no stability programme behind it at all, so any beyond-use date you apply is your own construct.
The single highest-value change most people can make is buying a cheap logging thermometer, because it converts an assumption about their storage into a record.
edited 1 Jan 2025 by charge_state_3 — tightened the wording; no substantive change
8Related: the same reasoning applies to the counter-ion question. – m_haraldsen 7 months ago add a comment