Freeze-thaw damage happens at the moving ice front, not at the storage temperature. Once the sample is frozen solid and cold, very little is happening. The damage is done during freezing and thawing, which is why the number of cycles matters and the duration of the hold mostly does not.
For the solid state, residual moisture is the dominant variable. A cake at two per cent water is considerably more stable than the same cake at six per cent, because water is both a reactant in hydrolysis and a plasticiser that lowers the glass transition temperature. This is why a desiccant in the outer packaging is not theatre, and why opening a cold vial in a humid room is a genuine error — you condense water onto the cake.
On the detail: a domestic freezer holds roughly minus eighteen degrees and cycles by several degrees on its defrost schedule, which for a lyophilised solid is entirely adequate and for a frozen solution means repeated partial melting at the surface. If you are going to freeze a solution, an unopened chest freezer is materially better than the compartment in the top of a fridge.
The Arrhenius relationship underpinning accelerated stability testing is the basis of ICH Q1A, which is why accelerated studies at 40 °C and 75 per cent relative humidity are used to predict shelf life at 25 °C. The same relationship lets you reason about a warm transit lane, with the same caveats about extrapolation.
One qualification: none of this addresses sterility. A vial can be chemically pristine and microbiologically compromised, and a chromatogram will not tell you which.
Minimise transitions rather than minimising temperature. One freeze and one thaw is fine; five is a different question.