The honest framing is that this is very common, usually self-limiting, and occasionally the presentation of something that is not self-limiting at all — and the differentiating features are specific enough to be worth knowing.
Distinguishing an injection-site nodule from an infection: a nodule is firm, non-tender or mildly tender, not warm, not expanding, and appears within a day or two. Cellulitis is warm, tender, expanding, and often accompanied by systemic features. A sterile abscess sits between the two and is fluctuant. Warmth plus expansion plus fever is the combination that stops being a forum question.
Pancreatitis red flags worth memorising rather than looking up: severe, persistent epigastric pain radiating to the back, worse lying flat and better sitting forward, with nausea and vomiting that does not settle. That combination is an urgent assessment, not a dose adjustment. An isolated lipase elevation without that picture is common and usually not pancreatitis.
Telogen effluvium following substantial weight loss is documented independently of any pharmacotherapy, which is the cleanest argument that the rate of loss rather than the agent is the primary driver.
The limitation of the timing heuristic is that it works well for common events and poorly for rare ones, which are precisely the ones that matter most.
Write down in advance which symptoms mean stop and seek care. It is a short list and it is much easier to write when you are well.