Accepted answer
sixteen weeks is 112 days at a temperature where the chemistry all but stops and the physics does not. minus 20 °C is 25 kelvin below a refrigerator, and below the glass transition of a lyophilised cake the ten-degree rule of thumb stops applying at all — solid-state chemistry is not slow liquid chemistry, it is a different regime, and the failure modes that survive it are mechanical rather than chemical. In a frozen solution the solute is excluded from the growing ice, so the unfrozen fraction concentrates and the buffer's pH moves as one salt crystallises before the other. The damage is done at the transitions, and 112 days of stable hold between them contributes very little. Reconstituted material has no certificate; the one in the box describes the powder.
The short version: water enables most of it, oxygen enables oxidation, surfaces enable adsorption, and agitation enables aggregation.
Light exposure matters for tryptophan-containing sequences and for anything with a chromophore. Amber vials and a closed box are free mitigations.
Aggregation is physical: peptides unfold at air-liquid interfaces and associate. Shaking maximises that interface, which is why swirling and shaking produce visibly different outcomes on the same vial.
Deamidation via the succinimide intermediate is well characterised, with sequence-dependent rates highest for asparagine-glycine motifs.
Sequence decides which pathways are even available. Check the residues.
4I have kept vials both ways for a year and this matches what I saw. – nkem_obiora 2 months ago add a comment