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What is the reported incidence of early satiety on cagrilintide in SURPASS-2?

Asked 24 Sept 2024Modified 19 months agoViewed 36k times
38

Stated plainly: early satiety · cagrilintide · SURPASS-2.

I have read the primary source rather than the summary, which has left me with more questions.

I understand the headline. I do not understand the footnotes, and the footnotes look important.

What would I need in addition before this supported a decision?

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askedfib4_reader35k3824 Sept 2024

5 Answers

Accepted answer first, then by votes
105

Accepted answer

The part that matters: timing is the most useful diagnostic feature here and it is the one most often omitted from the question.

Fatigue attribution is a subtraction problem. Take out the energy deficit, the dehydration, the electrolyte shortfall and the poor sleep, and what remains attributable to the drug in the trials was modest — placebo-arm fatigue rates were within a few points of active-arm rates in most of the programme. The corollary is that the fixable causes are usually the actual causes.

Gastrointestinal adverse events, indicative pooled rates

EventActive armPlacebo armTiming
Nausea40–45 %15–20 %Peaks 1–2 wk after each step
Vomiting15–25 %5–8 %Follows nausea
Diarrhoea20–30 %10–15 %Early, variable
Constipation20–25 %8–12 %Later onset, persistent
Discontinuation for GI events4–7 %1–2 %Mostly during escalation

Ranges span agents and doses; read the specific prescribing information for a specific figure.

Distinguishing an injection-site nodule from an infection: a nodule is firm, non-tender or mildly tender, not warm, not expanding, and appears within a day or two. Cellulitis is warm, tender, expanding, and often accompanied by systemic features. A sterile abscess sits between the two and is fluctuant. Warmth plus expansion plus fever is the combination that stops being a forum question.

SURMOUNT-1 reported gastrointestinal events as the most frequent adverse events, mostly mild to moderate and mostly during escalation, with discontinuation for adverse events in the single digits per cent[1].

Most of this resolves. The point of knowing the pattern is to recognise the small fraction that does not.

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answered · acceptedkwn_analytical89k2483 Dec 2024
Related: the same reasoning applies to the counter-ion question. – dermot_kiely 8 months ago
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Mechanically, the mechanism explains the pattern. Delayed gastric emptying plus central appetite suppression produces early satiety, and early satiety plus a slowed transit produces exactly the symptom cluster people report.

Early satiety is not a side effect; it is the mechanism being observable. The useful distinction is between satiety, where you stop eating without distress, and aversion, where the thought of food is unpleasant. The first is the intended effect. The second frequently precedes the dose being too high or escalated too fast.

In practice, the gallbladder signal tracks the rate of weight loss more than it tracks the drug. Rapid mobilisation of adipose tissue increases biliary cholesterol saturation and reduces gallbladder motility; that combination is lithogenic whether the loss came from a drug, a very-low-energy diet or bariatric surgery. The drug contribution on top of that is present but smaller than the rate contribution.

Pooled analyses of gallbladder-related events with GLP-1 receptor agonists find a modest increase in relative risk, with the effect larger at higher doses and longer durations — consistent with a rate-of-loss mechanism as much as a direct one[1].

One qualification — reported incidence in a monitored trial population is a lower bound on what happens in an unmonitored one, because trial participants were escalated to protocol and supported through it.

Fix the fixable causes first — fluid, electrolytes, sleep, intake — before concluding that the compound is responsible.

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answereds_bhattacharya42k3821 Nov 2024
I tested this on two lots and got the same answer, so at least it reproduces. – bridget_nyathi 2 months ago
The timing signature is the useful part. Everything else is confounded. – low_dead_space 4 months ago
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More usefully, the honest framing is that this is very common, usually self-limiting, and occasionally the presentation of something that is not self-limiting at all — and the differentiating features are specific enough to be worth knowing.

Constipation outlasts the nausea because it has two causes and only one of them resolves. Gastric emptying accommodates over weeks; total intake, and therefore stool volume and the osmotic load reaching the colon, does not recover until intake does. This is why fibre alone can make it worse — you add bulk to a system that is short of water and short of motility.

It helps to be literal here: pancreatitis red flags worth memorising rather than looking up: severe, persistent epigastric pain radiating to the back, worse lying flat and better sitting forward, with nausea and vomiting that does not settle. That combination is an urgent assessment, not a dose adjustment. An isolated lipase elevation without that picture is common and usually not pancreatitis.

The limitation of the timing heuristic is that it works well for common events and poorly for rare ones, which are precisely the ones that matter most.

If the timing does not fit the escalation, look for another explanation before settling on the drug.

edited 25 Dec 2024 by Dr_Rosalind_Achebe — fixed an arithmetic slip in the third paragraph

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answeredDr_Rosalind_Achebe90k15814 Dec 2024
7I tested this on two lots and got the same answer, so at least it reproduces. – t_oyelaran 9 months ago
6The timing signature is the useful part. Everything else is confounded. – birk_nordahl 7 months ago
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The incidence figures are dose-related but the timing is escalation-related, and conflating the two produces most of the bad advice in this area. Adverse events cluster in the one to two weeks following each dose increase, then decay.

Vomiting matters mostly through its consequences. Loss of gastric fluid depletes sodium, chloride and potassium, and hypokalaemia presents as exactly the fatigue and cramping people attribute to the drug. Persistent vomiting also makes a renal panel uninterpretable, because a pre-renal picture looks like renal impairment.

The prescribing information for each agent lists adverse reaction frequencies against placebo in a table, and reading that table is more informative than reading a hundred anecdotes, because it has a denominator.

Write down in advance which symptoms mean stop and seek care. It is a short list and it is much easier to write when you are well.

edited 25 Dec 2024 by tyndall_haze — added the placebo-arm figures

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answeredtyndall_haze48k4825 Dec 2024
35

The distinction worth making early is between a tolerability problem, which is unpleasant and self-limiting, and a clinical problem, which is neither. They present differently and the thresholds for each are worth writing down before you need them.

The telogen effluvium timing signature is the diagnostic feature: hair enters the shedding phase two to four months after the insult, so shedding that starts at month three of rapid loss and peaks around month four to five is the expected pattern. Shedding that starts in week two is not telogen effluvium and warrants a different question. In either case the follicle is not destroyed and regrowth is the rule.

The pooled gastrointestinal adverse-event rates across the STEP programme and the SURMOUNT programme are reported in the primary publications and in the FDA and EMA assessment reports, and the assessment reports are more useful because they give the placebo-arm rates alongside the active-arm rates in the same table.

A symptom diary with dates against dose steps answers most of these questions without anyone needing to guess.

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HV
answeredhelena_vidmar18k288 Oct 2024
6Small correction: the units in the third paragraph should be micrograms, not milligrams. – Dr_Ilse_Vandenberg 2 months ago
5Do you have a reference for the last claim? Not disputing it, just want to read it. – Dr_Tomas_Kral 15 days ago
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