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Does a large published testing history at KP imply lot consistency?

Asked 22 May 2024Modified 23 months agoViewed 33k times
This question was marked as a duplicate of Why did two BCH lots of cagrilintide differ on content assay?Closed 8 Jun 2024. It remains here because the answers below are specific to how it was asked.
37

This is my second independent submission on material from the same supplier.

I suspect the usual explanation for this is wrong, or at least incomplete.

I am aware this may have a boring answer. I would still like the boring answer stated clearly.

Can someone derive this rather than assert it?

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askedahmed_zerouali19k2822 May 2024

5 Answers

Accepted answer first, then by votes
28

Accepted answer

The practical consequence is that spot-testing one vial from a new supplier is better than assuming they are all the same.

Acceptance Sampling by Attributes defines the number of samples you need from a lot to claim a specified quality level at a specified risk — it is in ANSI standard Z1.4.

Mass shifts and what they usually mean

Δ mass (Da)Most likely causeDistinguishing feature
+1Deamidation (Asn or Gln)New peak, slightly earlier retention
−17Loss of ammoniaOften with deamidation
−18Dehydration / succinimidepH-dependent, reversible
+16Oxidation (Met, Trp)Earlier retention, light-related
−128Missing Gln or LysDeletion sequence from synthesis
0Isomer: racemisation or scramblingSame mass, shifted retention

The relevant detail is that the sample size determination requires choosing a confidence level and an acceptable error rate, and the smaller the error rate you want, the larger your sample must be.

Sampling plans for pharmaceutical manufacturing are defined in ISO 2859 and ANSI Z1.4, and they are based on statistical sampling theory.

Worth noting that thermal excursions during shipping affect different vials differently, so the lot may not be homogeneous even if it left the factory that way.

Assume segregation is possible, and design your sampling to catch it if it exists.

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HV
answered · acceptedh_villanueva50k382 Aug 2024
7Two of us worked through this independently and arrived here, so it is at least reproducible. – haze_check 3 months ago
8Worth adding that the method section is where the answer usually is. – lipid_panel_q 5 months ago
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20

In practice, thermal history during shipping is different for every vial, so a lot that experienced thermal abuse may have internal variation even if it was originally homogeneous.

If the entire lot failed qualification, a retest on a different vial is sometimes done, but reporting a retest result under the same lot number is misleading.

The underlying point is that a statement that "lot 20260412 complies with specifications" is meaningless without stating which vials from the lot were tested and how many there were.

The limitation is that you cannot know for certain without testing every vial, and you almost never can afford to do that.

If testing multiple vials, state how many you tested and why you chose those vials.

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LT
answeredlane_transit42k3813 Aug 2024
7The timing signature is the useful part. Everything else is confounded. – orla_sheridan 6 months ago
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12

If a lot has visibly segregated — some vials showing different appearance — then sampling the top and bottom of the shipment is worth doing.

If you have reason to suspect inhomogeneity — different appearance in different vials, or a long or warm shipment — testing more vials is the diagnostic move.

In practice, if the lot was manufactured in multiple batches, testing vials from each batch separately establishes whether batch-to-batch variation is acceptable.

The caveat is that sampling is a trade-off between cost and confidence, and neither test nor assumption is cost-free.

The practical summary: a lot number without a sampling statement is a lot number without meaning.

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M4
answeredmz_411399k2584 Sept 2024
10

In practice, sampling plans exist precisely because testing everything is expensive, and they define the statistical relationship between sample size and lot-wide inference.

Testing a vial that has been open in the lab for three months is testing aged material, not the fresh lot, and the result should be explicitly noted as a retest.

Assume segregation is possible, and design your sampling to catch it if it exists.

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DV
answereddead_volume49k3824 Aug 2024
4

Mechanically, the honest statement is that unless you have tested multiple vials or have segregation data, you are making an assumption about lot homogeneity that may not hold.

Under AQL sampling plans, testing two vials from a fifty-vial lot gives you an operating characteristic curve that tells you what risks you are accepting.

Published data on lot homogeneity from manufacturers who sample multiple vials consistently find variation below the published specifications, suggesting the sampling plans work.

If testing multiple vials, state how many you tested and why you chose those vials.

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SB
answeredsamir_bennani13k1830 May 2024
7Is there a reason to prefer the second method over the first, other than cost? – area_percent 11 days ago
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