Accepted answer
The titration schedule is a tolerability instrument, not an efficacy one. Nothing in the ladder is there to make the compound work better; every step exists to make the gastrointestinal adverse-event curve survivable.
Holding at a step for longer than four weeks before escalating does appear to reduce cumulative gastrointestinal burden, which is unsurprising given that adverse events cluster in the one to two weeks after each increase. What it does not do is change where you end up, provided you get there.
Weekly dosing accumulation, 7-day half-life
| Week | Fraction of steady state | Trough as × dose |
|---|
| 1 | 50 % | 0.50 |
| 2 | 75 % | 0.75 |
| 3 | 88 % | 0.88 |
| 4 | 94 % | 0.94 |
| 5 | 97 % | 0.97 |
| 6 | 98 % | 0.98 |
This is why a four-week step interval is approximately, but not exactly, steady state.
The relevant detail is that the argument against splitting a weekly dose is arithmetic rather than ideological. Peak-to-trough ratio for a seven-day half-life compound dosed weekly is about two. Split it into twice-weekly and the ratio falls to roughly 1.4. That is a real reduction in fluctuation and a negligible one in absolute terms, and you have doubled the number of stopper piercings and the number of small-volume measurements, each of which carries its own error.
The STEP programme escalated semaglutide over sixteen weeks in four-week steps to 2.4 mg weekly, and the trial-product estimand versus treatment-policy estimand distinction accounts for most of the difference between the figures quoted from those papers.
Worth noting that inter-individual variability in exposure at a given dose is substantial, which is why the ladder exists rather than a single population dose.
Escalate on tolerability, hold when it costs you, and do not confuse a flattening curve with a failing drug.