Accepted answer
The relevant detail is that the question to ask is not whether a vendor is good but what evidence exists, of what kind, about which lots, from whom. Reputation is a compression of that evidence and it compresses badly.
Cost per milligram, worked honestly: a 10 mg vial at £34 is £3.40 per nominal milligram. If the content assay says 9.2 mg, that is £3.70 per actual milligram. If you then lose 4 µL of dead space per draw from a 2 mL fill across twenty draws, that is 80 µL or four per cent of the fill, taking you to £3.85. Add a £110 content assay amortised across the vial and it is £14.85 per milligram for the first vial of a new lot and £3.85 thereafter. The testing dominates, which is the actual argument for buying larger lots.
Specifically, a defensible group-buy structure has three properties: the material is tested before it is split, the test is paid for from the pool rather than by the organiser, and the split is documented with photographs and a per-participant record of lot, volume and date. If any participant can reconstruct what they received from the records, a later dispute is resolvable. If not, it is not.
Independent testing costs have been stable enough over the past two years that amortisation arithmetic across a lot is worth doing before choosing a lot size, and the numbers usually favour a larger lot tested once over several small lots tested never.
Structure the group buy so that no single person is simultaneously the treasurer, the custodian and the arbiter. That one change removes most of the failure modes.
3I would add a sentence about sterility here, since it is the thing people skip. – Dr_Rosalind_Achebe 10 months ago 2The placebo-arm figure is the part everyone omits. – bea_castellanos 8 months ago add a comment