Accepted answer
six weeks is 42 days, and at 4 °C the ten-degree rule of thumb makes that roughly 39 refrigerated days of equivalent exposure. 4 °C is the condition the rule of thumb is anchored to, so it is the baseline rather than a multiplier: everything else in this thread is quoted relative to it. Compare that against what the certificate covers, which is the material as it left the laboratory on the date of analysis and nothing after it. That is short enough that a re-test is a stability study rather than a safety check — worth doing if you will publish the result, hard to justify if you will only reassure yourself. If you do re-test, send it for content as well as purity; the 42 days will have moved one of them further than the other.
The practical consequence is that spot-testing one vial from a new supplier is better than assuming they are all the same.
The statistical foundation here is well-established, which is why sampling plans from decades ago are still valid.
Mass shifts and what they usually mean
| Δ mass (Da) | Most likely cause | Distinguishing feature |
|---|
| +1 | Deamidation (Asn or Gln) | New peak, slightly earlier retention |
| −17 | Loss of ammonia | Often with deamidation |
| −18 | Dehydration / succinimide | pH-dependent, reversible |
| +16 | Oxidation (Met, Trp) | Earlier retention, light-related |
| −128 | Missing Gln or Lys | Deletion sequence from synthesis |
| 0 | Isomer: racemisation or scrambling | Same mass, shifted retention |
More usefully, testing a vial that has been open in the lab for three months is testing aged material, not the fresh lot, and the result should be explicitly noted as a retest.
Sampling plans for pharmaceutical manufacturing are defined in ISO 2859 and ANSI Z1.4, and they are based on statistical sampling theory.
The practical summary: a lot number without a sampling statement is a lot number without meaning.