Accepted answer
The titration schedule is a tolerability instrument, not an efficacy one. Nothing in the ladder is there to make the compound work better; every step exists to make the gastrointestinal adverse-event curve survivable.
Steady state, worked: with a half-life of about seven days and weekly administration, the accumulation ratio is roughly 1/(1 − 0.5) = 2, and you get to within about 97 per cent of steady state after five half-lives, so around thirty-five days — five weeks — after any dose change. A four-week step interval therefore has you escalating at roughly 94 per cent of the previous dose’s steady state, which is close enough to be sensible and not so close as to be conservative.
Weekly dosing accumulation, 7-day half-life
| Week | Fraction of steady state | Trough as × dose |
|---|
| 1 | 50 % | 0.50 |
| 2 | 75 % | 0.75 |
| 3 | 88 % | 0.88 |
| 4 | 94 % | 0.94 |
| 5 | 97 % | 0.97 |
| 6 | 98 % | 0.98 |
This is why a four-week step interval is approximately, but not exactly, steady state.
Escalating in response to a plateau is a specific and common error of reasoning. A plateau after four to six months is the expected trajectory in every trial in the class — the curve flattens because energy expenditure falls with mass, not because the receptor stopped working. A dose step may still be reasonable; "the loss stopped" is not by itself the reason.
The STEP programme escalated semaglutide over sixteen weeks in four-week steps to 2.4 mg weekly, and the trial-product estimand versus treatment-policy estimand distinction accounts for most of the difference between the figures quoted from those papers.
Write down in advance what would make you hold a step, because deciding that in the middle of a bad week is not when you are at your most analytical.
edited 18 Mar 2026 by cal_hennessy — removed a claim I could not source