Accepted answer
At 25 °C the question is which route is fastest, not whether oxidation happens — and the routes do not share an activation energy, so their ranking changes with temperature. 25 °C is 20 kelvin above the 5 °C middle of a 2–8 °C refrigerator. The ten-degree rule of thumb — degradation rate roughly doubling per 10 K — makes that about 4 times the refrigerated rate, which is an order-of-magnitude statement and not a shelf life. That multiplier is an average over every route at once, which is exactly why it cannot tell you which one wins. Met and Trp take up oxygen sixteen daltons at a time, and the oxidised species is more polar, so on a reversed-phase column it elutes ahead of the parent rather than behind it. So the way to answer it for your vial is to pick the method that sees oxidation specifically and run it against a control held cold, rather than to infer a mechanism from a purity number that averages all of them.
Start with the sequence, because which pathways are available depends on which residues are present.
Oxidation targets methionine, cysteine and tryptophan, adding sixteen daltons per oxygen. It is catalysed by trace metals and promoted by dissolved oxygen and by light.
Hydrolysis cleaves the backbone, most readily at aspartate-proline and aspartate-glycine sequences, and is acid-catalysed. In a dry solid it barely proceeds at all.
Adsorption losses at low concentrations are quantified in formulation studies and are the reason carrier proteins are used in dilute preparations.
Swirl, never shake. Aggregation is a handling problem more than a time problem.
edited 10 Aug 2026 by deamidation_watch — reworded for clarity after a comment