Accepted answer
Answer first: for a lyophilised solid the cold chain matters far less than people believe, and for a solution it matters far more than they act as though it does.
Arrhenius behaviour means the degradation rate roughly doubles per ten degrees. A week at thirty degrees is therefore a meaningful exposure for a solution and an immaterial one for a dry solid.
A single-use temperature logger costs a few pounds, records the whole journey and converts an argument into a record. If the history matters, this is the answer.
Phase-change pack hold time is a function of mass, latent heat and insulation, and published figures for small parcels are on the order of one to two days.
A cold pack tells you nothing about the eleven days before the last one.
Buy a logger if you actually want to know. Everything else is inference.
edited 14 Apr 2025 by lane_transit — added the placebo-arm figures
6Is there a reason to prefer minus eighty here, or is minus twenty genuinely enough? – fresh_bac 9 months ago add a comment