40 °C is one of the two points formal stability programmes actually run, so this is the rare case where the literature is looking where you are. Accelerated work is conventionally run at 25 °C and 40 °C, with the refrigerated condition as the control. 40 °C is 35 kelvin above the 5 °C middle of a 2–8 °C refrigerator. The ten-degree rule of thumb — degradation rate roughly doubling per 10 K — makes that about 11 times the refrigerated rate, which is an order-of-magnitude statement and not a shelf life. Whatever you find, check what was measured before you use it: a paper reporting purity at 40 °C has not measured content, and the two fail at different rates for different reasons.
Answer first: the degradation pathways worth knowing are hydrolysis, deamidation, oxidation, aggregation and adsorption, and each has a different trigger and a different mitigation.
Deamidation converts asparagine or glutamine to the corresponding acid via a succinimide intermediate, adding one dalton. It is base-catalysed, accelerates above neutral pH and is the dominant aqueous pathway for many peptides.
Hydrolysis cleaves the backbone, most readily at aspartate-proline and aspartate-glycine sequences, and is acid-catalysed. In a dry solid it barely proceeds at all.
Aggregation at air-liquid interfaces is established from surface-tension and particle-count studies and is the basis for anti-agitation handling guidance.
At dilute concentrations, suspect adsorption before you suspect chemistry.
edited 11 Mar 2026 by forty_two_c — clarified the distinction between purity and content